One
reliable barometric reading on levels of world poverty has been the
growth of international reefer markets. While its growth has easily
outpaced other sectors, the refrigerated market, be it as containerised
plug-in boxes or deployed in conventional bulk-loaded reefer ships, has
well-nigh exploded in the last two years, notes a study by the Irish
Shipbrokers & Chartering Ltd.
The reason the reefer market is such a bellwether in the
area of world poverty eradication is that it is the poorer regions of
the world whose produce require such technology to reach and dominate
overseas markets.
Bulk loading reefer ships have been around for a long
time, but while they delivered produce efficiently to market hubs, the
economies of scale they provided, suited producers like the United
Fruit Company and the like rather than smaller scale suppliers. And as
the field expanded it moved from the classic banana boat to moving vast
quantities of everything from fish to flowers.
The plug-in reefer box mitigated restrictions imposed by
economies of scale by providing smaller operators the ability to
develop niche markets of their own, which led to virtuous circles
economic growth. The greater use made of the reefer boxes, the more
useful and widespread it became the more accessible were these markets.
All this was happening in the natural course of
development, which is to say in the absence of the great Covid scare
that roiled freight markets worldwide for two years or more.
Shipowners in the conventional reefer market had
exceptionally good years. This upturn in fortunes is reflected in Irish
Shipbrokers & Chartering's in-house ISB Seafield Reefer Index,
which closed 2021 on a six-and-a-half-year high of 1,841 points, an
increase of 104.9 per cent year on year. The index averaged 1,517
points/week during the year, up 43.6 per cent from the previous years’
weekly average.
"The index mirrors the rise in both spot and period
reefer freight rates that we have observed across all of the primary
reefer market segments including the sub segments in which we are also
specialising," said the company.
The continued intensification in demand for conventional
reefer capacity was driven by the ongoing problems with global
container shortages, which in turn has been compounded by major
disruptions to supply chains caused by the Covid crisis, it said.
According to recently published data global supply-chain
disruption in the container markets saw container shipment rates soar
by an average of 200 per cent over the 2021. The surge in demand
contributed to widespread displacement of empty reefer containers from
key loading ports. Faced with rising costs and lack of equipment, many
reefer cargo shippers turned to conventional reefer vessels to fill the
gap.
According to the United Nations Conference on Trade and
Development (UNCTAD), shipping freight costs have contributed 1.5 per
cent towards global inflation over the past 12 months. Shipping has
become a major push factor now in driving inflation due to the shift
change from a reasonably low and steady cost to an unprecedented
explosion of freight charges.
In the smaller handysize reefer segment, time charter
equivalent returns for owners averaged a 62.8 per cent year-on-year
increase as enquiries from meat exporters in South America, among other
non-core trades, took-up the slack from what was a quieter frozen fish
market out of the key Moroccan/Mauritanian fishing grounds (22 per
cent volume contraction year on year).
In the larger reefer segment, the market was also
characterised by a lack of reefer container capacity in South and
Central America, South Africa, New Zealand. Squid catches in the
southwest Atlantic, often the bellwether for the larger reefer vessels
market’s direction during the first quarter – recorded a substantial
improvement, with records indicating a 90 per cent increase in reefer
capacity deployed in the trade during the 2021 season, setting a firm
platform for upside in freight levels during the remainder of the year.
The larger reefer vessels are mainly trading in
fruit/banana trades and as such the primary operators in these markets a
sizeable increase in demand for reefers in the larger reefer segment,
where returns averaged almost US$0.90 during the year, a remarkable
109.7 per cent increase year on year. This conversely has impacted the
costs for the primary fruit/banana traders and producers.
The sharp rises in dry container freight levels and
shortage of equipment also pushed some of this volume towards using
breakbulk vessels, which drove up freight rates in these segments.
Reefer vessels, due to their multideck, multipurpose configuration
meant that they were also perfect substitutes for this cargo.
Despite booming freight levels, the conventional reefer
fleet continued its contraction in 2021, with a net loss of 1.6 per
cent) as rising demolition prices saw many owners of 1970s and
1980s-built handysize tonnage cash-in.
There is a certain level of artificiality about current
trends in soaring freight rates. Yes, much has been driven by the Covid
crisis, but more than that, the current phenomenal rate surge has been
driven by official reaction to it. What was supposed to be helpful
policymaking has turned out to be harmful both economically and
injurious to public health.
Nonetheless, some of the unintended consequences have
been beneficial. One can immediately point to the growth of
telecommuting, which has reduced the need for intra-urban passenger
transport. There has been the parallel development of ecommerce and its
expansion, particularly in Japan of "dark kitchens", whereby
international brands license and equip kitchens, to produce and deliver
specific products like Big Macs, Whoppers, Pizza Supremes from a
multiplicity of take away kitchens within easy reach of customers.
To which we can add the global reefer market and its
phenomenal growth in that in a special way that has had a significant
impact on global poverty eradication. What was once restricted to
bananas, and delivered in such quantities as to chiefly benefit large
corporations, now extends down the delivery food chain, through
containerisation, to raise smaller economic players to the sunlit
uplands of prosperity.
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